Here are 8 key things that changed for the Indian stock market over the weekend, from Gift Nifty trends to US-China trade talks and gold price shifts.
Indian Stock Market Weekly Preview: What Changed Over the Weekend?
As Indian investors gear up for the trading week starting Monday, June 10, 2025, several significant developments over the weekend are expected to influence market direction. From Gift Nifty movements and US-China trade discussions to global commodity prices, here’s everything you need to know before the bell rings.
📈 1. Gift Nifty Hints at Positive Start
The Gift Nifty (earlier SGX Nifty) indicated a slightly bullish sentiment for Indian markets. Early Monday morning, it was trading around 22,950, up by nearly 40 points, suggesting a green opening for Nifty50(Indian Stock Market).
- Global cues remain mixed, but Asian peers showed moderate strength.
- Traders expect some consolidation ahead of key macroeconomic data.
🌏 2. US-China Trade Talks Resume With Optimism (Indian Stock Market)
Fresh trade negotiations between the US and China were held over the weekend, rekindling hopes of better economic coordination between the world’s two largest economies.
- Talks focused on easing tariffs and boosting supply chain collaboration.
- The positive tone from both sides could support global markets.
📌 Impact: May ease pressure on global exporters, including Indian IT and pharma sectors.(Indian Stock Market)
🏦 3. RBI Policy Aftermath: Market Still Digesting (Indian Stock Market)
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained a status quo on the repo rate last Friday, but the commentary leaned slightly hawkish.
- RBI highlighted persistent food inflation and global uncertainty.
- Analysts believe no rate cut is likely before Q4 2025.
📊 ICICI Securities stated, “Bond yields may rise marginally; equity markets may stay range-bound this week.”
📊 4. FII & DII Trends Show Mixed Sentiment
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) took different routes last week.
- FIIs net sold ₹1,274 crore on Friday.
- DIIs bought ₹2,041 crore, offering market support.
🔁 Expect continued volatility in large-cap names, especially banking and IT.
💹 5. Crude Oil Prices Fall Below $78
Crude oil prices slipped over the weekend to $77.65 per barrel (Brent), giving relief to oil-importing countries like India.
- Driven by rising inventory data and slow Chinese demand.
- Lower crude prices may support sectors like paint, aviation, and logistics.
🛢️ Internal Impact: Check out our article on crude oil trends and inflation impact.
🪙 6. Gold Prices See Uptick Amid Global Jitters
Gold saw a mild rise of 0.3%, trading at ₹72,150 per 10 grams (MCX), as investors flocked to safe-haven assets over geopolitical concerns in Eastern Europe.
- US job data released Friday added to economic uncertainty.
- Gold ETFs saw higher inflows globally.
💡 Expert View: “Gold could test ₹73,000 in the short term if geopolitical risks rise,” said Kedia Commodities.
📉 7. US Jobs Data Surprises Markets
The US non-farm payrolls report showed 272,000 jobs added in May, far above expectations, leading to fears that the Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts.
- US 10-year yield jumped to 4.45%.
- Wall Street ended mixed; Dow down 0.2%, Nasdaq up 0.3%.
📌 Indian tech stocks might see an impact due to dollar strength.
🇮🇳 8. Political Stability Supports Domestic Sentiment
Post-election clarity in India brought a sense of relief to investors, with the BJP-led NDA coalition confirming its government formation.
- Market participants expect continuity in economic reforms.
- PSU stocks gained momentum last week, and more upside is anticipated.
🗳️ Analysts expect infrastructure, defense, and railways sectors to stay in focus.
🔍 Sector-Wise Outlook for the Week
✔️ Bullish Sectors:
- FMCG (input cost-benefit)
- Capital Goods (policy-driven)
- PSU Banks (valuation comfort)
⚠️ Cautious Sectors:
- IT (US macro data impact)
- Real Estate (RBI stance)
Learn more about the latest US jobs report from CNBC and its impact on global markets.
📅 Key Events to Watch This Week
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| June 10 | India CPI Inflation Data |
| June 12 | US Fed Interest Rate Decision |
| June 13 | Weekly F&O Expiry |
❓FAQs
Q1. What is Gift Nifty and why is it important?
Gift Nifty (formerly SGX Nifty) is a derivative contract traded in GIFT City, Gujarat. It serves as a pre-market indicator for Indian equities.
Q2. How does crude oil affect the Indian stock market?
India imports most of its crude. Lower oil prices reduce input costs for many industries, positively impacting margins.
Q3. Why did gold prices rise over the weekend (Indian Stock Market)?
Gold prices rose due to global geopolitical tensions and safe-haven buying, particularly after US jobs data added uncertainty.
Q4. Will RBI cut interest rates soon?
The RBI maintained a cautious tone, making a rate cut unlikely before Q4 2025 unless inflation eases significantly.(Indian Stock Market)
Q5. Which sectors are expected to perform well this week?
FMCG, capital goods, and PSU banks are expected to do well, supported by macro trends and political stability.
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